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96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model

Suryatapa Chakraborty·The Hill·November 3, 2026
Mostly Factual · factual reporting (3 of 5)Outlet ratings by Media Bias/Fact Check

Recently updated election models from Harvard University forecast a strong chance of Democrats winning a majority of seats in the House and the Senate in the midterm elections. The chances of Democrats taking the House is as good as 96 percent, the Harvard model forecasts. According to the model, the chances of Republicans winning the…

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96 percent chance Democrats take House, 78 percent for Senate: Harvard model — TopNewsOn