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NBC Poll: 52% of Voters Prefer a Democrat-controlled Congress

Meet the Press moderator Kristen Welker joins Sunday TODAY’s Willie Geist to break down the election day races to watch and discuss a new NBC poll showing 52% of registered voters prefer a Congress controlled by Democrats. 

NBC News · 29m ago
‘Dark money made darker’: funding labyrinth conceals donors to Republican campaigns

One man’s campaign finance operation in Wisconsin exemplifies the opacity of the US political funding system In the summer of 2024, a non-profit called the Green Dragon Coalition wired the last $20,000 of a $445,000 grant to a Super Pac . Its tax return for that year would describe the purpose of the transfer as “educational”. The same day, according to Federal Election Commission (FEC) records, the Super Pac spent $8,000 attacking Celeste Maloy, the Republican congresswoman for Utah’s second district, four days before the primary that would decide whether she kept her seat. It had already spent more than $400,000 promoting her challenger, Colby Jenkins, who was running to her right with the endorsement of the rightwing Utah senator Mike Lee. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 48m ago
Why Florida Republicans are "white-knuckled" about Tuesday

Florida Republicans aren't panicking about sluggish turnout for the midterms , but in the words of one GOP elder: "We're white-knuckled." Why it matters: Florida once looked like a much safer Republican bet for the midterms. Losing any statewide race would stun and embarrass its elite Republican residents, starting with President Trump . "I don't necessarily want to be the bearer of bad news, but I don't think the turnout is as strong as we would like to see," Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis fretted last week. The biggest GOP concern is U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds' campaign for governor, though most polls show him narrowly leading Democrat David Jolly. Donalds has raised $176 million; Jolly just $28 million. Zoom in : The GOP's jitters are rooted in early turnout data. Republicans led Democrats in early ballots cast by just 2.8 percentage points as of Saturday afternoon. That's much lower than in the past two general elections — and it's despite a much-bigger Republican registration advantage over Democrats: 11 points. Republican turnout is weakest in parts of the conservative Panhandle and rural North Florida, including many of the 17 counties Donalds lost in the Republican primary. In those 17 counties, GOP turnout is 3.2 points below 2022, compared with 1.1 points below in counties that Donalds won, University of Florida political scientist Michael McDonald found. Between the lines: Republican turnout is made up of more habitual voters, while Democrats and independents are banking ballots from people who don't always show up. That could benefit Jolly if polls underestimate those voters. Democrats already have surpassed their entire 2022 early and mail-in vote totals in 15 counties, compared with four counties for Republicans. Nearly every poll shows independent voters favoring Democrats by double digits, so Republicans need a heavy turnout advantage. About two-thirds of Florida voters typically cast ballots before Election Day, making the early and absentee margins critica

Axios · 1h ago
Trump's election probes find an opening in Georgia

On the eve of midterms, President Trump is facing setbacks left and right in his push to investigate alleged election fraud . But in Georgia, he has an opening. Why it matters: Six years ago, Georgia was at the epicenter of Trump's efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Now the state's own election board has invited his administration to investigate its voting system. Georgia features two high-stakes statewide campaigns: Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) against Rep. Mike Collins (R) for Senate, and former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) against businessman Rick Jackson (R) for governor. The big picture: The Justice Department disclosed in court on Friday that the administration has sent letters to officials in California, Washington, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Nevada, asking some states to segregate mail-in ballots from suspected noncitizen voters. A federal judge on Friday issued an emergency order that blocks federal officials from threatening to charge election officials who count ballots from voters the DOJ claims are ineligible. In October, a federal judge restricted the Department of Homeland Security's investigations into suspected noncitizen voters. But Georgia is different . "We've managed with duct tape and bubble gum to be able to bootstrap our way through one last round, but that's not a way of running elections," a Georgia election official told Axios. Georgia's State Election Board asked the Justice and Homeland Security departments to review and potentially investigate the state's voting system and handling of election data. The Sept. 30 letter cited outdated software, threats to ballot secrecy and QR-code ballots it says may violate the Help America Vote Act. A DOJ spokesperson said in response to the letter: "We take seriously allegations that election officials have failed to adequately maintain election equipment and otherwise comply with federal law. We are evaluating the request and will investigate and, if appropriate, bring an enforce

Axios · 1h ago
Dems and GOP quietly bankroll dozens of third-party spoilers

More than 40 third-party candidates in pivotal House and Senate races across the country are receiving support from outside super PACs, many of which have ties to the two major parties, an Axios analysis has found. Why it matters: The sums being thrown around, which total more than $16.5 million, are far greater than virtually any of those candidates have raised or spent on their own. The super PACs have spent an average of $375,000 more than the third-party candidates they are supporting. More than half of the 43 candidates haven't filed any financial paperwork with the Federal Election Commission. While it is a comparative drop in the bucket for a midterm that has already seen billions in ad spending nationally, the money will likely play an outsized role in races that are set to be decided by razor-thin margins. Those races, in turn, will help decide the balance of power in Congress next year. Data: Federal Election Commission; Note: Heikes is a self-identified Republican, but Sen. Dan S. Sullivan is the Republican Party-endorsed candidate in the race; Table: Andrew Solender/Axios The top spenders nationwide have been a pair of obscure groups which, like many of the other "pop-up" super PACs in this story, were formed this month and therefore won't have to disclose their donors until after Election Day. Buckeye Freedom PAC has reported spending more than $3.8 million on ads in Ohio's U.S. Senate election supporting Libertarian Bill Redpath and opposing Republican Sen. John Husted, who is in a tight race with Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown. Alaska Values PAC has disclosed spending $3.8 million backing Gerald Heikes, a self-identified Republican running on Alaska's ranked-choice U.S. Senate ballot with Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola. Between the lines : Third-party candidates in Alaska are facing national scrutiny after the New York Times reported that Heikes and another self-proclaimed Republican on the ballot, Dan J. Sullivan, wer

Axios · 2h ago
Affordability top of mind for voters in final sprint to midterms: ‘I have to pick between medicine or groceries’

Cost of living has loomed over this election cycle as workers and unions champion candidates fighting for higher wages and tackling rising prices For millions of Americans heading to the polls on Tuesday, affordability is a constant and worsening issue, and it’s been a prevailing concern this election cycle. In Lorain county, Ohio, Gina Jones and her co-workers at the Lorain county job and family services have been on strike since February 2026, the longest public sector strike in Ohio history and on pace to break the US record for longest public sector strike. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 2h ago
Where has Trump traveled the most ahead of the November election?

President Donald Trump pledged at the beginning of September to spend the final month before the midterm elections traveling the country to rescue vulnerable Republican candidates, promising to visit 35 races in roughly 30 days. The president has made good on that promise in part by concentrating his appearances in a handful of states, with […]

Washington Examiner · 2h ago
Future of MAHA and anti-abortion policy hinges on Roger Marshall’s election chances

The future of Republican policy related to abortion and the Make America Healthy Again agenda in the next Congress largely hinges on whether Sen. Roger Marshall (R-KS) can manage to win reelection in Kansas. Marshall, who is running for reelection against Democrat megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton, has been a leading voice on healthcare policy as […]

Washington Examiner · 2h ago
Vance road tests 2028 campaign as Trump’s midterm sideshow

Weatherton, TEXAS — Vice President Vance is honing in on his campaign message ahead of Election Day in what many see as a preview of a presidential bid in 2028 that seems all but certain.  As Trump has criss-crossed the country for almost daily midterm rallies in the final month of campaigning, Vance’s schedule has…

The Hill · 3h ago
Ohio gubernatorial candidates sling mud to break through in battleground

Ohio’s gubernatorial race has descended into an extraordinary exchange of personal attacks, with Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton digging into each other’s pasts in a bitter contest that has left voters without a debate ahead of Election Day. The mudslinging reached a new level in October, when Ramaswamy’s campaign released an advertisement featuring […]

Washington Examiner · 3h ago
The 10 races that will decide House control

The battle for the House majority will come down to a handful of battleground districts. Republicans are playing defense as they seek to defend their 218-214 majority while facing tough political headwinds. All 435 House seats are up for grabs. Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), The Hill’s election partner, rates 13 House contests as “toss ups.”…

The Hill · 3h ago
Get Ready For The Freaky Friday Election

Every midterm cycle has at least two narratives: the one that drives conversation up to Election Day, and the postmortem blame game that follows. This year’s pre-election narrative began to coalesce when it became clear the entanglement in Iran was not heading to a swift resolution, and solidified when Abdul El-Sayed won the Michigan Democrat ...

Daily Wire · 9h ago
Data centers are now a midterm issue, even in Brooklyn

At a Brooklyn midterm party five days before Election Day, every conversation, from a council member’s fireside chat to a debate about the Democratic Party, kept circling back to AI and data centers.

TechCrunch · 11h ago
Dems try to ride blue wave to flood Congress in final midterm blitz

Republicans are facing a potential Election Day onslaught by Democrats, with control of the House and Senate in jeopardy after an October polling collapse that put a raft of candidates in danger and threatened to wipe out multiple incumbents previously thought to be holding safe seats.

New York Post · 17h ago
Axelrod: El-Sayed 'Should Have Rejected', 'Offensive', Inaccurate Ad

On Friday’s broadcast of CNN’s “AC360,” CNN Chief Political Analyst David Axelrod said that Democratic Michigan U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed “should have rejected” the “offensive” and misleading ad blaming Israel for high costs. Axelrod began by saying, “I understand The post Axelrod: El-Sayed ‘Should Have Rejected’, ‘Offensive’, Inaccurate Ad appeared first on Breitbart .

Breitbart · 17h ago
Americans turn against socialism in last months before midterm election: Poll

More voters are becoming leery of socialism, as Republicans have worked to paint the system in a negative light ahead of the midterm elections, according to a new poll. President Donald Trump and other top GOP figures have warned throughout the election cycle that socialists are gaining increasing power in the Democratic Party, a development […]

Washington Examiner · 19h ago
Haley Stevens’ Fiancé Seems Dedicated to Ruining Her Career

In August, Representative Haley Stevens lost Michigan’s Democratic senatorial primary to Abdul El-Sayed, who polls show now holds a narrow lead over the Republican candidate, Mike Rogers. Most losing primary candidates either endorse their opponent or wait out the remainder of the election cycle before reentering politics. But Stevens, in recent weeks, has made her […]

Mother Jones · 20h ago
Democrats near the prize: Election-law overhauls in battleground states

A blue wave on Tuesday could bring major changes to voting laws in battleground states where the 2028 presidential election will be decided. Republicans are bracing for losses in what polls suggest will be a successful night for Democrats hoping to retake majorities in Congress. But they are also at risk of losing enough downballot […]

Washington Examiner · 20h ago
MAGA won the party. It just lost the math

In his recent breakdown of the Republican Party’s internal mechanics, the Washington Examiner’s chief political correspondent Byron York highlighted a stark operational reality: President Donald Trump holds a 95% approval rating among self-described MAGA Republicans. While conventional political coverage filters this data through a lens of partisan triumph or panic, an objective institutional analysis reveals […]

Washington Examiner · 20h ago
More than 50m Americans cast ballots in early voting with three days to go before midterms

Record number of early votes cast, with Democrats outnumbering Republicans in states which collect that information There has been a surge of early voting for the US midterm elections, with millions more Americans going to the polls compared with the last such election amid a series of tight contests that will determine control of Congress. More than 50.5m early votes have been cast across the US as of Saturday morning, according to an analysis by the University of Florida . This is already nearly 5m more votes than the total number of early votes made in the last midterm elections, in 2022. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 22h ago
Only Israel’s Palestinians Vote Against Genocide

The “most consequential election in Israel’s history” has not changed the country’s unbearably bleak outlook. But the Palestinian minority has come out in force for solidarity and justice.

Jacobin · 22h ago
Report: Dozens of Democrats Silent on Alaska Election Rigging While Calling GOP a 'Threat to Democracy'

Dozens of leading Democrats — many of whom have railed for years about the GOP and the Trump administration as a “threat to democracy” — are universally silent when asked to respond to a cynical attempt to confuse Republican voters on Alaska’s senatorial ballot. The post Report: Dozens of Democrats Silent on Alaska Election Rigging While Calling GOP a ‘Threat to Democracy’ appeared first on Breitbart .

Breitbart · 22h ago
Israel’s Election Leaves Netanyahu in Limbo

Bloomberg Israel Bureau Chief Ethan Bronner tells Bloomberg This Weekend that neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor the opposition has a clear path to forming a government after Israel’s election, potentially setting up difficult coalition negotiations or another vote. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Lisa Mateo, Bronner discusses Netanyahu’s political durability, increased Arab voter participation and how another conflict with Iran could alter the coalition calculus. (Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg · 23h ago