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Results for “election results”

The polling average won. Now what?

The author argues that while modern polling averages provide immediate insights into election margins, journalists must look deeper into the underlying data to understand voter motivations and mandates.

The Hill · 26m ago
The Guardian view on the US midterms and election interference: Trump’s attempted heist is already under way | Editorial

Voters are turning against the Republicans. But the clearest possible message is needed to safeguard democracy The psychologist Jennifer Freyd identified a pattern often used by perpetrators: deny, accuse, and reverse victim and offender. More than one observer has noted that Donald Trump employs that pattern politically. With polls suggesting Republicans are likely to lose the House and perhaps the Senate too in the midterms, the man who refused to accept Americans’ democratic verdict in 2020 is hawking a narrative of cheating Democrats who will steal seats via illegitimate votes. The January 6 insurrection showed how acute the peril to American democracy had become. It is more so now. This time, Republican efforts to undermine the results began well in advance. In 2020, Mr Trump’s vice-president, Mike Pence, the attorney general, William Barr, and others refused his most outrageous demands; now the justice department is supine. And the supreme court’s gutting of the Voting Rights Act , which safeguarded against the worst kinds of racial discrimination, means that states no longer require pre-approval for decisions that could well tilt a race. Districts have already been redrawn. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 56m ago
Tim Scott dodges question on accepting Alaska Senate race results if Peltola wins

Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) on Sunday dodged on whether he would accept the Alaska Senate election results in the case that Democrat Mary Peltola is victorious in the race against Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska). During an interview on NBC News’s “Meet the Press,” Kristen Welker asked the Palmetto State senator on possibly accepting the Alaska…

The Hill · 2h ago
What are the races to watch in the US midterm elections and why do they matter?

US voters will decide whether Republicans will retain control of Congress or whether Democrats will rise up to stymie Trump’s agenda Donald Trump will still be US president on the morning of 4 November. But he could be facing a very different political landscape, depending on the results of the US midterm elections held the previous day. As the name implies, midterm elections fall nearly halfway through a president’s term. They are often a telling referendum on the sitting president’s performance, something Trump is actively encouraging by telling voters “pretend I’m on the ballot”. In this case, voters will decide whether Trump’s Republican party can retain its grip on Congress. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives. Republicans are defending a narrow majority, with Democrats needing a net gain of four seats to take control. 35 seats in the Senate. Thirty-three seats are up in regular elections, along with two special elections in Florida and Ohio to fill the remainder of terms that were vacated early. Republicans currently hold 53 seats, against 47 held by Democrats and independents who caucus with them. Democrats need to gain four seats to secure a majority. 39 governorships. Voters will choose governors in 36 states and three US territories. Thousands of state legislative seats , as well as local offices, judicial contests and ballot measures on issues including taxes, abortion rights and voting rules. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 3h ago
Midterm Results Could Reshape Both Parties

Hosts of Bloomberg's Balance of Power Kailey Leinz and Joe Mathieu join Bloomberg This Weekend and discuss that President Donald Trump is making a late campaign push in traditionally Republican states as the midterm elections test his influence over voters and the Republican Party. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Lisa Mateo, they examine how the results could reshape both parties, the importance of closely watched races from Texas to Michigan and the possibility that control of Congress may not be known immediately. (Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg · 3h ago
Republican senator Dan Sullivan says he will accept Alaska election results

Senator was allegedly targeted in ballot-stacking ploy by his Democratic opponent to peel away votes from him Senator Dan Sullivan, the Alaska Republican allegedly targeted in a ballot-stacking ploy by his Democratic opponent, Mary Peltola, told CNN this morning that he would accept the results of his upcoming election. According to a recent New York Times investigation, aides from Peltola’s campaign recruited another man who shared Sullivan’s name to join the race in a ploy to peel away votes from the Republican incumbent. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 3h ago
Sullivan: ‘I’m going to accept the election results’

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) said he would accept the election results of the upcoming 2026 elections, even if he lost, following a Justice Department (DOJ) lawsuit attempting to invalidate election results if his opponent, former Rep. Mary Peltola (D-Alaska), won.  Appearing on CNN’s “State of the Union,” Sullivan was asked by host Jake Tapper if…

The Hill · 3h ago
Sen. Dan Sullivan vows to accept Alaska election results if defeated

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK) committed to accepting the results of the Alaska Senate election regardless of whether he wins the race against Democratic challenger Mary Peltola. “I’m going to accept the election results,” Sullivan said on CNN’s State of the Union on Sunday when asked how he would proceed if Peltola wins on Tuesday. The […]

Washington Examiner · 3h ago
India Protest Renew Calls for Election Chief Resignation

India’s opposition parties on Sunday renewed calls for the resignation of the country’s election chief, staging fresh protests in the latest display of public dissent against Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government. (Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg · 4h ago
Midterm elections preview: How might this year's vote change Washington?

Voters in this year's elections will choose all 435 members of the House of Representatives, a third of our Senators, and 36 races for governor. Correspondent David Pogue looks at what midterm election results typically represent, and why – with inflation a key topic on voters' minds, and a historically unpopular president – this year's midterms may upend expectations.

CBS News · 4h ago
America is holding an election. It needs a divorce

America doesn’t need an election. It needs a divorce. Sad to say, we’ve become two nations headed in two totally different directions. Red-state America still believes in the Constitution, American exceptionalism, and free enterprise. This means that you can come here from anywhere (legally, mind you), become an American, contribute to society, worship and raise […]

Washington Examiner · 4h ago
Get an Inside Look at the NBC News Decision Desk

Behind every election at NBC is a vital team most viewers will never see. After millions of voters make their voices heard on election day, the data scientists and election experts that make up NBC News’ decision desk dictate the calls you hear on election night. TODAY’s Savannah Guthrie shares an inside look in this week’s Sunday Focus.

NBC News · 4h ago
Final Campaign Push with Two Days Until Election Day

President Donald Trump’s red state blitz ahead of election day barrels on with rallies set in Iowa and Kansas. The the Trump administration is also fighting for more control over elections in court. Meanwhile, with control of the Senate is hinging on a handful of states, Democrats are dealing with a feud in Michigan. NBC’s Maggie Vespa reports for Sunday TODAY.

NBC News · 5h ago
NBC Poll: 52% of Voters Prefer a Democrat-controlled Congress

Meet the Press moderator Kristen Welker joins Sunday TODAY’s Willie Geist to break down the election day races to watch and discuss a new NBC poll showing 52% of registered voters prefer a Congress controlled by Democrats. 

NBC News · 5h ago
‘Dark money made darker’: funding labyrinth conceals donors to Republican campaigns

One man’s campaign finance operation in Wisconsin exemplifies the opacity of the US political funding system In the summer of 2024, a non-profit called the Green Dragon Coalition wired the last $20,000 of a $445,000 grant to a Super Pac . Its tax return for that year would describe the purpose of the transfer as “educational”. The same day, according to Federal Election Commission (FEC) records, the Super Pac spent $8,000 attacking Celeste Maloy, the Republican congresswoman for Utah’s second district, four days before the primary that would decide whether she kept her seat. It had already spent more than $400,000 promoting her challenger, Colby Jenkins, who was running to her right with the endorsement of the rightwing Utah senator Mike Lee. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 5h ago
Why Florida Republicans are "white-knuckled" about Tuesday

Florida Republicans aren't panicking about sluggish turnout for the midterms , but in the words of one GOP elder: "We're white-knuckled." Why it matters: Florida once looked like a much safer Republican bet for the midterms. Losing any statewide race would stun and embarrass its elite Republican residents, starting with President Trump . "I don't necessarily want to be the bearer of bad news, but I don't think the turnout is as strong as we would like to see," Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis fretted last week. The biggest GOP concern is U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds' campaign for governor, though most polls show him narrowly leading Democrat David Jolly. Donalds has raised $176 million; Jolly just $28 million. Zoom in : The GOP's jitters are rooted in early turnout data. Republicans led Democrats in early ballots cast by just 2.8 percentage points as of Saturday afternoon. That's much lower than in the past two general elections — and it's despite a much-bigger Republican registration advantage over Democrats: 11 points. Republican turnout is weakest in parts of the conservative Panhandle and rural North Florida, including many of the 17 counties Donalds lost in the Republican primary. In those 17 counties, GOP turnout is 3.2 points below 2022, compared with 1.1 points below in counties that Donalds won, University of Florida political scientist Michael McDonald found. Between the lines: Republican turnout is made up of more habitual voters, while Democrats and independents are banking ballots from people who don't always show up. That could benefit Jolly if polls underestimate those voters. Democrats already have surpassed their entire 2022 early and mail-in vote totals in 15 counties, compared with four counties for Republicans. Nearly every poll shows independent voters favoring Democrats by double digits, so Republicans need a heavy turnout advantage. About two-thirds of Florida voters typically cast ballots before Election Day, making the early and absentee margins critica

Axios · 6h ago
Trump's election probes find an opening in Georgia

On the eve of midterms, President Trump is facing setbacks left and right in his push to investigate alleged election fraud . But in Georgia, he has an opening. Why it matters: Six years ago, Georgia was at the epicenter of Trump's efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Now the state's own election board has invited his administration to investigate its voting system. Georgia features two high-stakes statewide campaigns: Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) against Rep. Mike Collins (R) for Senate, and former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) against businessman Rick Jackson (R) for governor. The big picture: The Justice Department disclosed in court on Friday that the administration has sent letters to officials in California, Washington, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Nevada, asking some states to segregate mail-in ballots from suspected noncitizen voters. A federal judge on Friday issued an emergency order that blocks federal officials from threatening to charge election officials who count ballots from voters the DOJ claims are ineligible. In October, a federal judge restricted the Department of Homeland Security's investigations into suspected noncitizen voters. But Georgia is different . "We've managed with duct tape and bubble gum to be able to bootstrap our way through one last round, but that's not a way of running elections," a Georgia election official told Axios. Georgia's State Election Board asked the Justice and Homeland Security departments to review and potentially investigate the state's voting system and handling of election data. The Sept. 30 letter cited outdated software, threats to ballot secrecy and QR-code ballots it says may violate the Help America Vote Act. A DOJ spokesperson said in response to the letter: "We take seriously allegations that election officials have failed to adequately maintain election equipment and otherwise comply with federal law. We are evaluating the request and will investigate and, if appropriate, bring an enforce

Axios · 6h ago
Dems and GOP quietly bankroll dozens of third-party spoilers

More than 40 third-party candidates in pivotal House and Senate races across the country are receiving support from outside super PACs, many of which have ties to the two major parties, an Axios analysis has found. Why it matters: The sums being thrown around, which total more than $16.5 million, are far greater than virtually any of those candidates have raised or spent on their own. The super PACs have spent an average of $375,000 more than the third-party candidates they are supporting. More than half of the 43 candidates haven't filed any financial paperwork with the Federal Election Commission. While it is a comparative drop in the bucket for a midterm that has already seen billions in ad spending nationally, the money will likely play an outsized role in races that are set to be decided by razor-thin margins. Those races, in turn, will help decide the balance of power in Congress next year. Data: Federal Election Commission; Note: Heikes is a self-identified Republican, but Sen. Dan S. Sullivan is the Republican Party-endorsed candidate in the race; Table: Andrew Solender/Axios The top spenders nationwide have been a pair of obscure groups which, like many of the other "pop-up" super PACs in this story, were formed this month and therefore won't have to disclose their donors until after Election Day. Buckeye Freedom PAC has reported spending more than $3.8 million on ads in Ohio's U.S. Senate election supporting Libertarian Bill Redpath and opposing Republican Sen. John Husted, who is in a tight race with Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown. Alaska Values PAC has disclosed spending $3.8 million backing Gerald Heikes, a self-identified Republican running on Alaska's ranked-choice U.S. Senate ballot with Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola. Between the lines : Third-party candidates in Alaska are facing national scrutiny after the New York Times reported that Heikes and another self-proclaimed Republican on the ballot, Dan J. Sullivan, wer

Axios · 6h ago
Affordability top of mind for voters in final sprint to midterms: ‘I have to pick between medicine or groceries’

Cost of living has loomed over this election cycle as workers and unions champion candidates fighting for higher wages and tackling rising prices For millions of Americans heading to the polls on Tuesday, affordability is a constant and worsening issue, and it’s been a prevailing concern this election cycle. In Lorain county, Ohio, Gina Jones and her co-workers at the Lorain county job and family services have been on strike since February 2026, the longest public sector strike in Ohio history and on pace to break the US record for longest public sector strike. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 6h ago
Where has Trump traveled the most ahead of the November election?

President Donald Trump pledged at the beginning of September to spend the final month before the midterm elections traveling the country to rescue vulnerable Republican candidates, promising to visit 35 races in roughly 30 days. The president has made good on that promise in part by concentrating his appearances in a handful of states, with […]

Washington Examiner · 6h ago
Future of MAHA and anti-abortion policy hinges on Roger Marshall’s election chances

The future of Republican policy related to abortion and the Make America Healthy Again agenda in the next Congress largely hinges on whether Sen. Roger Marshall (R-KS) can manage to win reelection in Kansas. Marshall, who is running for reelection against Democrat megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton, has been a leading voice on healthcare policy as […]

Washington Examiner · 6h ago
2028 hopefuls with the most riding on the midterms

The candidates with the most at stake in Tuesday’s midterm elections won’t necessarily be the ones on the ballot.  For a growing field of prospective 2028 presidential contenders in both parties, the results could offer an early test of their political strength, their influence within their respective parties and their ability to shape the next presidential race at a…

The Hill · 7h ago
Vance road tests 2028 campaign as Trump’s midterm sideshow

Weatherton, TEXAS — Vice President Vance is honing in on his campaign message ahead of Election Day in what many see as a preview of a presidential bid in 2028 that seems all but certain.  As Trump has criss-crossed the country for almost daily midterm rallies in the final month of campaigning, Vance’s schedule has…

The Hill · 7h ago
Ohio gubernatorial candidates sling mud to break through in battleground

Ohio’s gubernatorial race has descended into an extraordinary exchange of personal attacks, with Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton digging into each other’s pasts in a bitter contest that has left voters without a debate ahead of Election Day. The mudslinging reached a new level in October, when Ramaswamy’s campaign released an advertisement featuring […]

Washington Examiner · 7h ago
The 10 races that will decide House control

The battle for the House majority will come down to a handful of battleground districts. Republicans are playing defense as they seek to defend their 218-214 majority while facing tough political headwinds. All 435 House seats are up for grabs. Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), The Hill’s election partner, rates 13 House contests as “toss ups.”…

The Hill · 7h ago