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Why Florida Republicans are "white-knuckled" about Tuesday

Florida Republicans aren't panicking about sluggish turnout for the midterms , but in the words of one GOP elder: "We're white-knuckled." Why it matters: Florida once looked like a much safer Republican bet for the midterms. Losing any statewide race would stun and embarrass its elite Republican residents, starting with President Trump . "I don't necessarily want to be the bearer of bad news, but I don't think the turnout is as strong as we would like to see," Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis fretted last week. The biggest GOP concern is U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds' campaign for governor, though most polls show him narrowly leading Democrat David Jolly. Donalds has raised $176 million; Jolly just $28 million. Zoom in : The GOP's jitters are rooted in early turnout data. Republicans led Democrats in early ballots cast by just 2.8 percentage points as of Saturday afternoon. That's much lower than in the past two general elections — and it's despite a much-bigger Republican registration advantage over Democrats: 11 points. Republican turnout is weakest in parts of the conservative Panhandle and rural North Florida, including many of the 17 counties Donalds lost in the Republican primary. In those 17 counties, GOP turnout is 3.2 points below 2022, compared with 1.1 points below in counties that Donalds won, University of Florida political scientist Michael McDonald found. Between the lines: Republican turnout is made up of more habitual voters, while Democrats and independents are banking ballots from people who don't always show up. That could benefit Jolly if polls underestimate those voters. Democrats already have surpassed their entire 2022 early and mail-in vote totals in 15 counties, compared with four counties for Republicans. Nearly every poll shows independent voters favoring Democrats by double digits, so Republicans need a heavy turnout advantage. About two-thirds of Florida voters typically cast ballots before Election Day, making the early and absentee margins critica

Axios · 30m ago
Trump's election probes find an opening in Georgia

On the eve of midterms, President Trump is facing setbacks left and right in his push to investigate alleged election fraud . But in Georgia, he has an opening. Why it matters: Six years ago, Georgia was at the epicenter of Trump's efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Now the state's own election board has invited his administration to investigate its voting system. Georgia features two high-stakes statewide campaigns: Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) against Rep. Mike Collins (R) for Senate, and former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) against businessman Rick Jackson (R) for governor. The big picture: The Justice Department disclosed in court on Friday that the administration has sent letters to officials in California, Washington, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Nevada, asking some states to segregate mail-in ballots from suspected noncitizen voters. A federal judge on Friday issued an emergency order that blocks federal officials from threatening to charge election officials who count ballots from voters the DOJ claims are ineligible. In October, a federal judge restricted the Department of Homeland Security's investigations into suspected noncitizen voters. But Georgia is different . "We've managed with duct tape and bubble gum to be able to bootstrap our way through one last round, but that's not a way of running elections," a Georgia election official told Axios. Georgia's State Election Board asked the Justice and Homeland Security departments to review and potentially investigate the state's voting system and handling of election data. The Sept. 30 letter cited outdated software, threats to ballot secrecy and QR-code ballots it says may violate the Help America Vote Act. A DOJ spokesperson said in response to the letter: "We take seriously allegations that election officials have failed to adequately maintain election equipment and otherwise comply with federal law. We are evaluating the request and will investigate and, if appropriate, bring an enforce

Axios · 45m ago
Dems and GOP quietly bankroll dozens of third-party spoilers

More than 40 third-party candidates in pivotal House and Senate races across the country are receiving support from outside super PACs, many of which have ties to the two major parties, an Axios analysis has found. Why it matters: The sums being thrown around, which total more than $16.5 million, are far greater than virtually any of those candidates have raised or spent on their own. The super PACs have spent an average of $375,000 more than the third-party candidates they are supporting. More than half of the 43 candidates haven't filed any financial paperwork with the Federal Election Commission. While it is a comparative drop in the bucket for a midterm that has already seen billions in ad spending nationally, the money will likely play an outsized role in races that are set to be decided by razor-thin margins. Those races, in turn, will help decide the balance of power in Congress next year. Data: Federal Election Commission; Note: Heikes is a self-identified Republican, but Sen. Dan S. Sullivan is the Republican Party-endorsed candidate in the race; Table: Andrew Solender/Axios The top spenders nationwide have been a pair of obscure groups which, like many of the other "pop-up" super PACs in this story, were formed this month and therefore won't have to disclose their donors until after Election Day. Buckeye Freedom PAC has reported spending more than $3.8 million on ads in Ohio's U.S. Senate election supporting Libertarian Bill Redpath and opposing Republican Sen. John Husted, who is in a tight race with Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown. Alaska Values PAC has disclosed spending $3.8 million backing Gerald Heikes, a self-identified Republican running on Alaska's ranked-choice U.S. Senate ballot with Republican Sen. Dan S. Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola. Between the lines : Third-party candidates in Alaska are facing national scrutiny after the New York Times reported that Heikes and another self-proclaimed Republican on the ballot, Dan J. Sullivan, wer

Axios · 1h ago
Affordability top of mind for voters in final sprint to midterms: ‘I have to pick between medicine or groceries’

Cost of living has loomed over this election cycle as workers and unions champion candidates fighting for higher wages and tackling rising prices For millions of Americans heading to the polls on Tuesday, affordability is a constant and worsening issue, and it’s been a prevailing concern this election cycle. In Lorain county, Ohio, Gina Jones and her co-workers at the Lorain county job and family services have been on strike since February 2026, the longest public sector strike in Ohio history and on pace to break the US record for longest public sector strike. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 1h ago
A curmudgeon’s guide to the 2026 US elections | Dave Schilling

From the cheesecake factory discourse to the double Dan Sullivans, campaign season has been ridiculous Chances are, as you’re reading this, your bunker is fully stocked, your doors are locked, and you’re peeking at your computer screen through gaps between your fingers. After all, it’s election day on Tuesday. Once again, democracy will be tested – like Beavis & Butthead taking the SATs. I’m not looking forward to it, and I’m sure you aren’t either. Dave Schilling is a Los Angeles-based writer and humorist Continue reading...

The Guardian · 1h ago
Where has Trump traveled the most ahead of the November election?

President Donald Trump pledged at the beginning of September to spend the final month before the midterm elections traveling the country to rescue vulnerable Republican candidates, promising to visit 35 races in roughly 30 days. The president has made good on that promise in part by concentrating his appearances in a handful of states, with […]

Washington Examiner · 1h ago
Future of MAHA and anti-abortion policy hinges on Roger Marshall’s election chances

The future of Republican policy related to abortion and the Make America Healthy Again agenda in the next Congress largely hinges on whether Sen. Roger Marshall (R-KS) can manage to win reelection in Kansas. Marshall, who is running for reelection against Democrat megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton, has been a leading voice on healthcare policy as […]

Washington Examiner · 1h ago
Chancellor fails to guarantee minimum wage pledge for younger workers

Manifesto promise to equalise rates before next election is now ‘a question of when’, John Healey tells BBC Labour looks less likely to meet its manifesto pledge to equalise the minimum wage for younger workers before the next election, after the chancellor failed to guarantee the rise within that timeframe. John Healey said on Sunday the government was still committed to the increase but failed to spell out when it would be achieved. In the budget, a rise in the minimum wage was handed to adults and under 20s, but there was no larger rise for younger workers, which would have been needed for a move towards equalisation. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 1h ago
Arsenal v Aston Villa, London City Lionesses v Manchester City, and more: Women’s Super League – live

⚽️ WSL updates with games at 12pm, 2pm and 2.30pm (GMT) ⚽️ Putellas provides mindset change | Mail Luke As Martin Semmens, the London City Lionesses chief executive, sits down is his office he looks like the cat that got the cream. He says he has just learned that the club’s Instagram page has generated 34m hits since Alexia Putellas won the Ballon d’Or on Monday evening, and it is only Thursday afternoon. On Sunday two clubs with seven of the top 30 players in the Ballon d’Or rankings will go head-to-head when Manchester City visit Hayes Lane, Bromley. It is, Semmens, says, “awesome for the WSL”. From the outside, it can feel slightly surreal. The independent women’s club, owned by the businesswoman Michele Kang, are third in the top flight, two‑and‑a‑half years after finishing eighth in tier two, and Semmens believes signing the world’s best player has helped change the mindset of everyone at the club. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 2h ago
The 10 races that will decide House control

The battle for the House majority will come down to a handful of battleground districts. Republicans are playing defense as they seek to defend their 218-214 majority while facing tough political headwinds. All 435 House seats are up for grabs. Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), The Hill’s election partner, rates 13 House contests as “toss ups.”…

The Hill · 2h ago
Ohio gubernatorial candidates sling mud to break through in battleground

Ohio’s gubernatorial race has descended into an extraordinary exchange of personal attacks, with Republican Vivek Ramaswamy and Democrat Amy Acton digging into each other’s pasts in a bitter contest that has left voters without a debate ahead of Election Day. The mudslinging reached a new level in October, when Ramaswamy’s campaign released an advertisement featuring […]

Washington Examiner · 2h ago
Vance road tests 2028 campaign as Trump’s midterm sideshow

Weatherton, TEXAS — Vice President Vance is honing in on his campaign message ahead of Election Day in what many see as a preview of a presidential bid in 2028 that seems all but certain.  As Trump has criss-crossed the country for almost daily midterm rallies in the final month of campaigning, Vance’s schedule has…

The Hill · 2h ago
Notre Dame vs. Villanova college basketball: How to watch Eternal City Tip-Off doubleheader

Two college basketball seasons commence from halfway around the world. Both the men’s and women’s 2026-27 campaigns start in unison with the Eternal City Tip-Off in Italy. This first-time event, inspired by the election of the first American pope, taps the Villanova Wildcats and Notre Dame Fighting Irish for an ambitious doubleheader at Rome’s Palazzo dello Sport. Here’s what viewers need to know ahead of Sunday’s special. All times below are ET. How to watch the Notre Dame vs. Villanova doubleh

Yahoo Sports · 3h ago
An embattled Karen Bass is fighting tooth and nail to keep her mayorship in LA. It might be too late

With affordability a major election issue, the incumbent is trying to ward off her democratic socialist challenger At the end of 2022, the four largest US cities – New York, Los Angeles, Chicago and Houston – all had Black mayors. It was a historic alignment made possible by the aftereffects of the Black Lives Matter civil rights movement and the unprecedented wave of protests following the killing of George Floyd in 2020. Six years on, only one of those mayors remains: the embattled Karen Bass of Los Angeles , who is facing a strong challenge from a younger, even more progressive challenger. Bass’s opponent is Nithya Raman, a member of the Democratic Socialists of America, although the group is considering rescinding its endorsement over her refusal to explicitly embrace the Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions movement against Israel. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 3h ago
India tightens security as opposition holds mega rally demanding election chief’s resignation

Indian law enforcement officials armed with batons and shields on Sunday surrounded the site of a planned opposition rally in New Delhi. India's main opposition parties and the youth-led Cockroach Janta Party ‌are demanding the resignation of the country's election chief over voter list revisions that critics say favour Prime Minister Narendra Modi's party.

France 24 · 7h ago
Indian forces tighten security in Delhi ahead of big opposition protest

Opposition says hundreds of thousands of people expected to participate in march demanding election chief resign over voter list changes Indian security personnel carrying batons and shields and accompanied by riot control vehicles surrounded the site of a planned opposition ⁠protest in Delhi on Sunday that is set to demand the resignation of the country’s election chief over a controversial revision of voter lists. Authorities warned of traffic diversions ⁠ahead of the protest march ⁠and rally ​that will be led by Congress party leader Rahul Gandhi. The opposition says it expects hundreds of thousands of people to participate in what it says ⁠will be a major challenge to the prime minister, Narendra Modi, and his Bharatiya Janata party (BJP). Continue reading...

The Guardian · 7h ago
Get Ready For The Freaky Friday Election

Every midterm cycle has at least two narratives: the one that drives conversation up to Election Day, and the postmortem blame game that follows. This year’s pre-election narrative began to coalesce when it became clear the entanglement in Iran was not heading to a swift resolution, and solidified when Abdul El-Sayed won the Michigan Democrat ...

Daily Wire · 8h ago
Data centers are now a midterm issue, even in Brooklyn

At a Brooklyn midterm party five days before Election Day, every conversation, from a council member’s fireside chat to a debate about the Democratic Party, kept circling back to AI and data centers.

TechCrunch · 11h ago
Dems try to ride blue wave to flood Congress in final midterm blitz

Republicans are facing a potential Election Day onslaught by Democrats, with control of the House and Senate in jeopardy after an October polling collapse that put a raft of candidates in danger and threatened to wipe out multiple incumbents previously thought to be holding safe seats.

New York Post · 16h ago
Axelrod: El-Sayed 'Should Have Rejected', 'Offensive', Inaccurate Ad

On Friday’s broadcast of CNN’s “AC360,” CNN Chief Political Analyst David Axelrod said that Democratic Michigan U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed “should have rejected” the “offensive” and misleading ad blaming Israel for high costs. Axelrod began by saying, “I understand The post Axelrod: El-Sayed ‘Should Have Rejected’, ‘Offensive’, Inaccurate Ad appeared first on Breitbart .

Breitbart · 16h ago