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Why Florida Republicans are "white-knuckled" about Tuesday

Florida Republicans aren't panicking about sluggish turnout for the midterms , but in the words of one GOP elder: "We're white-knuckled." Why it matters: Florida once looked like a much safer Republican bet for the midterms. Losing any statewide race would stun and embarrass its elite Republican residents, starting with President Trump . "I don't necessarily want to be the bearer of bad news, but I don't think the turnout is as strong as we would like to see," Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis fretted last week. The biggest GOP concern is U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds' campaign for governor, though most polls show him narrowly leading Democrat David Jolly. Donalds has raised $176 million; Jolly just $28 million. Zoom in : The GOP's jitters are rooted in early turnout data. Republicans led Democrats in early ballots cast by just 2.8 percentage points as of Saturday afternoon. That's much lower than in the past two general elections — and it's despite a much-bigger Republican registration advantage over Democrats: 11 points. Republican turnout is weakest in parts of the conservative Panhandle and rural North Florida, including many of the 17 counties Donalds lost in the Republican primary. In those 17 counties, GOP turnout is 3.2 points below 2022, compared with 1.1 points below in counties that Donalds won, University of Florida political scientist Michael McDonald found. Between the lines: Republican turnout is made up of more habitual voters, while Democrats and independents are banking ballots from people who don't always show up. That could benefit Jolly if polls underestimate those voters. Democrats already have surpassed their entire 2022 early and mail-in vote totals in 15 counties, compared with four counties for Republicans. Nearly every poll shows independent voters favoring Democrats by double digits, so Republicans need a heavy turnout advantage. About two-thirds of Florida voters typically cast ballots before Election Day, making the early and absentee margins critica

Axios · 31m ago
Trump's election probes find an opening in Georgia

On the eve of midterms, President Trump is facing setbacks left and right in his push to investigate alleged election fraud . But in Georgia, he has an opening. Why it matters: Six years ago, Georgia was at the epicenter of Trump's efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election. Now the state's own election board has invited his administration to investigate its voting system. Georgia features two high-stakes statewide campaigns: Sen. Jon Ossoff (D) against Rep. Mike Collins (R) for Senate, and former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) against businessman Rick Jackson (R) for governor. The big picture: The Justice Department disclosed in court on Friday that the administration has sent letters to officials in California, Washington, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Nevada, asking some states to segregate mail-in ballots from suspected noncitizen voters. A federal judge on Friday issued an emergency order that blocks federal officials from threatening to charge election officials who count ballots from voters the DOJ claims are ineligible. In October, a federal judge restricted the Department of Homeland Security's investigations into suspected noncitizen voters. But Georgia is different . "We've managed with duct tape and bubble gum to be able to bootstrap our way through one last round, but that's not a way of running elections," a Georgia election official told Axios. Georgia's State Election Board asked the Justice and Homeland Security departments to review and potentially investigate the state's voting system and handling of election data. The Sept. 30 letter cited outdated software, threats to ballot secrecy and QR-code ballots it says may violate the Help America Vote Act. A DOJ spokesperson said in response to the letter: "We take seriously allegations that election officials have failed to adequately maintain election equipment and otherwise comply with federal law. We are evaluating the request and will investigate and, if appropriate, bring an enforce

Axios · 46m ago
Only Israel’s Palestinians Vote Against Genocide

The “most consequential election in Israel’s history” has not changed the country’s unbearably bleak outlook. But the Palestinian minority has come out in force for solidarity and justice.

Jacobin · 22h ago
Israel’s Election Leaves Netanyahu in Limbo

Bloomberg Israel Bureau Chief Ethan Bronner tells Bloomberg This Weekend that neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor the opposition has a clear path to forming a government after Israel’s election, potentially setting up difficult coalition negotiations or another vote. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Lisa Mateo, Bronner discusses Netanyahu’s political durability, increased Arab voter participation and how another conflict with Iran could alter the coalition calculus. (Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg · 22h ago
Ads accusing Republican candidates of protecting Epstein fill airwaves in final midterm push

But select Democrats, too, are being accused of having ties to the late sex offender as country prepares to vote In races across the country, Democratic candidates or groups that support them have released ads accusing Republicans of protecting pedophiles by voting against legislation to release files related to Jeffrey Epstein . The ads appear intended to evoke an emotional response by accusing candidates of “protecting” Epstein, a notorious pedophile accused of running a sex-trafficking ring involving minors. Continue reading...

The Guardian · 22h ago
Maher: El-Sayed Will 'Never' 'Get My Vote' if He Can't Differentiate Between Israel, Iran

On Friday’s broadcast of HBO’s “Real Time,” host Bill Maher discussed Democratic Michigan U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed refusing to say Iran is a bigger threat than Israel and said that “You’re never going to get my vote if you The post Maher: El-Sayed Will ‘Never’ ‘Get My Vote’ if He Can’t Differentiate Between Israel, Iran appeared first on Breitbart .

Breitbart · Oct 31
Democrats simply don’t believe in America anymore

What value do you think the country needs most today? It is admittedly somewhat of an odd question, but the results from a recently published Gallup poll asking it are striking. “Honesty” was the top vote-getter at 34%, followed by “responsibility” at 32%, and “integrity” at 31%. These are all fine choices, and the country […]

Washington Examiner · Oct 31
Election integrity, extremism and Pete Hegseth: nine voters on the US midterm election

Days away from a national verdict on Trump 2.0, we check in with nine midterm voters across the US and the political spectrum US voters will soon deliver a national verdict on the second presidency of Donald Trump . On 3 November, millions of Americans will vote in midterm elections to decide control of the House of Representatives and Senate, as well as the governorships in 36 states and state legislatures across the country. The results could have a huge impact on Trump’s final two years in office. Our reporters have interviewed nine voters across the country and the political spectrum about extremism in US politics, their confidence in the US voting system, what they hope Congress will tackle first and their views of the president’s secretary of defense, Pete Hegseth. Continue reading...

The Guardian · Oct 31
Will election security ballot measures throw Republicans a turnout lifeline in 2026?

Republicans may see a slight 2026 turnout boost not from candidates or President Donald Trump’s breakneck campaign schedule, but from specific statewide measures that will appear on ballots come Election Day. Ballot measures themselves represent one of the most direct ways for voters to influence state policies: a simple yes or no vote on issues […]

Washington Examiner · Oct 31
'Atmosphere of fear': Trump moves to curtail voting rights ahead of the midterms

Americans vote on November 3 in midterm elections that could see Republicans lose control of Congress, endangering US President Donald Trump's legislative agenda. Under the US Constitution, elections are organized by the respective states – but that has not halted US President Donald Trump from trying to wield his influence ahead of the vote.

France 24 · Oct 31
‘The Border Gets Flooded’ When Democrats Win: Vance Makes Case for Voting Republican

Vice President JD Vance urged Americans on Friday to vote Republican in Tuesday’s midterm elections after sharing a video showing migrants traveling through Mexico who said they hoped Democrat victories would lead to changes in President Donald Trump’s immigration policies. The post ‘The Border Gets Flooded’ When Democrats Win: Vance Makes Case for Voting Republican appeared first on Breitbart .

Breitbart · Oct 31
Chiefs’ Andy Reid Addresses Harrison Butker Situation Following Justin Tucker Arrival

Andy Reid has made his call on Harrison Butker. The Chiefs coach confirmed Friday that Butker will kick Sunday against the Denver Broncos, two days after Kansas City signed Justin Tucker to its practice squad. The vote of confidence follows a 20-3 loss to the Seattle Seahawks in which Butker went 1-of-3. It also leaves […] The post Chiefs’ Andy Reid Addresses Harrison Butker Situation Following Justin Tucker Arrival appeared first on Gridiron Heroics.

Yahoo Sports · Oct 31
Just four days before Election Day, DOJ probes Arizona voter registrations

The Justice Department is investigating the Arizona voter registration efforts of three Democratic-aligned groups after an "undercover" video purported to show volunteers willing to register non-citizens. Why it matters: The Friday announcement comes four days before the Nov. 3 election, and nearly a month after Arizona's registration deadline passed, timing one Republican former elections official says could sow unnecessary doubt about the results. Driving the news: In a news release , the U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Arizona announced it has "opened a case into recent reporting about three non-profit organizations registering non-citizens to vote in Arizona." The groups are nonprofits Worker Power and Stand Indivisible AZ, as well as When We Count, a voter-registration program of the Democratic National Committee. DNC spokesperson Angelo Fernández Hernández wrote to Axios, "We are not aware of any instances of our fellows … registering a noncitizen to vote." He called the allegations "fabricated" and "inspired by right-wing operatives." The other two groups did not immediately respond. State of play: The "recent reporting" appears to reference an Oct. 22 video by Muckraker , a right-wing media outlet with a marred past . The video shows a man posing as a felon or noncitizen and asking if he can register to vote. The U.S. attorney's office has "already referred the matter to the FBI," per the announcement. Between the lines: In letters to both Republican Maricopa County Recorder Justin Heap and Democratic Arizona Secretary of State Adrian Fontes, Courchaine wrote that it "appears these organizations … may have violated" a state law about knowingly registering ineligible persons. However, the video does not show them registering anyone, only discussing it. U.S. Attorney Timothy Courchaine asked both men for "a review of registrations submitted by these groups to ensure only United States Citizens were registered to vote." The U.S. Attorney's Office did

Axios · Oct 31
DOJ Ramps Up Criminal Probe Amid Tight Alaska Senate Race

"Balance of Power" focuses on the intersection of politics and global business. On today's show, Pat Toomey, former Pennsylvania Republican Senator, former ranking member of the Senate Banking Committee and Coinbase global advisory council member, says Republicans are in a "really rough spot" in the House while control of the Senate remains much more of an open question. Jessica Killin, Colorado Democratic Congressional candidate, says affordability is the central concern she hears from voters and argues Congress needs to take back its power on tariffs and the war with Iran. Jessica Taylor, Senate and Governors editor for The Cook Political Report, says President Donald Trump is needed on the campaign trail to drive Republican turnout, but making the midterms about himself could also motivate Democrats and independents to vote against his party. (Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg · Oct 30
Trump Can Drive Turnout on Both Sides: Taylor

Jessica Taylor, Senate and Governors editor for The Cook Political Report, says President Donald Trump is needed on the campaign trail to drive Republican turnout, but making the midterms about himself could also motivate Democrats and independents to vote against his party. Taylor says Cook moved Florida's Senate race from Solid Republican to Likely Republican because it expects a single-digit contest and says Florida could offer an early indication of how Republicans are performing nationally. Taylor says some states could produce different results in their gubernatorial and Senate races and that the bigger question in the closing days is which voters ultimately turn out. She speaks with Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz on Bloomberg’s "Balance of Power." (Source: Bloomberg)

Bloomberg · Oct 30
Trump DOJ loses last-minute California ballot bid

A federal appeals court rejected the Justice Department's emergency bid to set aside mail ballots tied to more than 20,000 California voters the Trump administration suspects are noncitizens. Why it matters: The 2–1 ruling leaves California's election procedures intact just days before the midterms, with the judges citing doubts about the DOJ's voter list and the risk of disenfranchising eligible voters. The ruling is a major setback for a DOJ that has doubled down on unsubstantiated claims of widespread voter fraud in the Golden State. What they're saying: The majority cited the lower court's finding that the DOJ's process for identifying suspected noncitizens was "not credible," undermining its claims. "Granting [the United States]'s request would provoke catastrophic change, upending the administration of the election," it wrote, quoting the district court's finding. "There is a material risk that granting the United States its requested relief would result in disenfranchisement and could jeopardize [Los Angeles] County's entire election." The other side: Ninth U.S. Circuit Judge Patrick Bumatay dissented, arguing that counting votes from noncitizens dilutes the power of citizens. "The federal government proposes a modest remedy—stopping California from mixing the ballots of citizens and suspected noncitizens. This solution would not cancel any vote but would allow time to verify the eligibility of suspected noncitizens." The White House and the Justice Department did not immediately respond to Axios' request for comment. Catch up quick: The DOJ sued California in mid October for refusing to segregate the ballots it asserted were sent to noncitizens. A district court denied the request for an injunction, deciding that the federal law the DOJ was relying on to bring the suit did not supersede existing state law. The Trump administration appealed, leading to Friday's decision. The administration can now appeal again to the Supreme Court. Zoom out: Trump has continu

Axios · Oct 30